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Slow investment recovery holding back growth | India Ratings

Slow investment recovery holding back growth | India Ratings

India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has revised its gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast for FY17 upwards to 7.8 per cent from its earlier forecast of 7.7 per cent. The upward revision has been prompted by the progress of monsoon and the sowing of kharif crops so far. With the exception of the East and Northeast, the rainfall in other regions of the country has been more than the long period average.

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Perspective on the Credit Policy

Perspective on the Credit Policy

In my opinion, RBI delivered a very balanced policy. As expected, they chose the calibrated path of a 25 bps cut in the Repo and the Reverse Repo rates as they wanted to avoid a repeat of April 2012 when the RBI had cut the Repo rate by 50 bps and then had to pause with surprises creeping in from the inflation side. On the other side, there is a clear acknowledgement from the RBI that demand side activity has remained low, growth has slowed below trend, probably needing the RBI to complement the